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Red74
347630.9
583516.8
860010.6
Blue19
347312.2
592421.2
32957.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624120801007419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.3
28.929.3
Auto12.7
Teleop15.3
End2.9
red by 9.7
5924
#21
21.21.4
22.621.3
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End0.5
Second
16.80.3
15.015.4
Auto8.2
Teleop7.2
End1.5
red by 4.6
3473
#35
12.21.4
9.17.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End0.5
Third
8600
#33
10.60.6
9.810.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End0.8
red by 3.4
3295
#38
7.22.3
7.85.5
Auto4.3
Teleop1.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed