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Red33
950510.7
95207.7
704226.3
Blue51
977212.1
927121.3
49997.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463902060801001201403351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7042
#15
26.30.5
24.924.3
Auto11.0
Teleop12.7
End2.6
red by 5.0
9271
#12
21.31.1
15.714.6
Auto5.5
Teleop13.4
End2.4
Second
9505
#24
10.70.5
7.97.4
Auto2.3
Teleop8.2
End0.3
blue by 1.3
9772
#32
12.11.1
10.19.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End2.1
Third
9520
#41
7.70.5
8.37.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End0.5
red by 0.6
4999
#47
7.10.7
10.29.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed