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Red93
512410.1
414125.1
715730.4
Blue74
528517.2
248532.5
930110.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64583040507080901009374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.41.7
27.329.1
Auto10.7
Teleop16.8
End2.9
blue by 2.1
32.50.9
30.131.0
Auto10.9
Teleop19.0
End2.6
Second
25.11.7
19.621.3
Auto8.2
Teleop15.6
End1.3
red by 7.8
5285
#26
17.20.9
14.014.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End0.2
Third
5124
#42
10.11.7
10.111.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.8
End0.6
blue by 0.7
9301
#34
10.80.9
9.210.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed