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Red52
580511.2
330926.7
903719.6
Blue100
741523.0
519934.0
656025.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51882040608010012014052100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.1
24.524.6
Auto8.1
Teleop16.0
End2.6
blue by 7.3
34.01.0
28.029.1
Auto10.9
Teleop16.0
End7.1
Second
9037
#10
19.60.1
16.716.8
Auto9.2
Teleop9.8
End0.6
blue by 6.0
6560
#11
25.51.0
25.926.9
Auto8.7
Teleop12.2
End4.6
Third
5805
#30
11.20.1
9.09.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.1
End1.2
blue by 11.8
23.01.0
21.022.0
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed53%Ensemble oddsEarned