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Red38
656025.5
30207.0
32957.2
Blue74
519934.0
498411.4
622023.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446320801003874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6560
#11
25.50.3
26.926.6
Auto8.7
Teleop12.2
End4.6
blue by 8.4
34.01.2
29.130.2
Auto10.9
Teleop16.0
End7.1
Second
3295
#38
7.20.4
5.55.1
Auto4.3
Teleop1.6
End1.3
blue by 16.1
6220
#22
23.31.9
16.618.6
Auto6.2
Teleop16.1
End1.0
Third
3020
#46
7.00.4
9.49.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.3
End1.7
blue by 4.3
4984
#14
11.41.2
8.810.0
Auto5.6
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed54%Ensemble oddsEarned