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Red47
76077.9
528517.2
407923.9
Blue93
903719.6
704226.3
930110.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46582040801004793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4079
#18
23.90.3
20.921.2
Auto6.9
Teleop16.2
End0.7
blue by 2.5
7042
#15
26.30.5
24.324.9
Auto11.0
Teleop12.7
End2.6
Second
5285
#26
17.20.3
14.915.2
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End0.2
blue by 2.3
9037
#10
19.60.5
16.817.4
Auto9.2
Teleop9.8
End0.6
Third
7607
#28
7.90.5
7.07.4
Auto3.6
Teleop2.8
End1.5
blue by 2.9
9301
#34
10.80.5
10.110.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed