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Red14
95207.7
447011.4
96964.2
Blue61
8679.3
347630.9
592421.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237104060801001201461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4470
#29
11.41.4
12.110.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.6
End0.6
blue by 19.5
30.90.2
29.029.2
Auto12.7
Teleop15.3
End2.9
Second
9520
#41
7.70.8
7.36.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End0.5
blue by 13.6
5924
#21
21.20.2
19.719.9
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End0.5
Third
9696
#45
4.21.4
7.15.7
Auto1.1
Teleop0.8
End2.4
blue by 5.0
867
#37
9.30.3
9.59.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed