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Red54
977212.1
741523.0
414125.1
Blue65
583516.8
395214.3
927121.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6341020801001205465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.0
22.122.0
Auto8.2
Teleop15.6
End1.3
red by 3.8
9271
#12
21.32.8
15.418.2
Auto5.5
Teleop13.4
End2.4
Second
23.00.0
22.422.3
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End1.5
red by 6.2
16.81.7
14.115.8
Auto8.2
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Third
9772
#32
12.10.1
10.110.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End2.1
blue by 2.3
3952
#40
14.32.8
10.513.3
Auto6.7
Teleop5.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed