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Red62
803334.3
49997.1
512410.1
Blue114
498411.4
32957.2
441529.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57410208010062114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8033
#16
34.30.1
32.132.0
Auto11.2
Teleop22.5
End0.6
red by 5.3
4415
#17
29.12.2
23.826.0
Auto11.1
Teleop17.6
End0.3
Second
5124
#42
10.10.1
9.99.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.8
End0.6
blue by 1.3
4984
#14
11.42.2
10.012.2
Auto5.6
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Third
4999
#47
7.10.1
8.07.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End2.2
blue by 0.1
3295
#38
7.23.7
5.18.8
Auto4.3
Teleop1.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsEarned