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Red52
950510.7
903719.6
852111.4
Blue11
30207.0
74476.9
88057.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393101020506070805211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9037
#10
19.60.9
17.418.3
Auto9.2
Teleop9.8
End0.6
red by 12.3
8805
#31
7.32.6
10.88.3
Auto1.5
Teleop5.7
End0.1
Second
8521
#27
11.40.9
9.910.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End1.0
red by 4.3
3020
#46
7.02.6
9.06.4
Auto2.1
Teleop3.3
End1.7
Third
9505
#24
10.70.9
7.18.0
Auto2.3
Teleop8.2
End0.3
red by 3.8
7447
#44
6.92.6
9.46.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed