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Red67
407923.9
347312.2
416016.8
Blue80
715730.4
699530.5
656025.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4210102060801201401606780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4079
#18
23.91.0
21.222.2
Auto6.9
Teleop16.2
End0.7
blue by 6.6
30.50.6
28.928.3
Auto11.8
Teleop15.4
End3.3
Second
4160
#25
16.81.0
15.416.4
Auto7.0
Teleop8.0
End1.9
blue by 13.5
30.40.6
29.128.5
Auto10.7
Teleop16.8
End2.9
Third
3473
#35
12.21.0
8.49.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End0.5
blue by 13.4
6560
#11
25.50.6
26.626.0
Auto8.7
Teleop12.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed56%Ensemble oddsEarned