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Red70
461914.0
622023.3
903719.6
Blue77
421.6
441529.1
950510.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545602040801001201407077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6220
#22
23.31.6
17.819.5
Auto6.2
Teleop16.1
End1.0
blue by 5.7
4415
#17
29.11.8
26.027.8
Auto11.1
Teleop17.6
End0.3
Second
9037
#10
19.61.1
18.319.3
Auto9.2
Teleop9.8
End0.6
blue by 2.0
4
#19
21.61.8
16.418.2
Auto7.4
Teleop13.0
End1.2
Third
4619
#36
14.01.6
13.014.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.8
End0.8
red by 3.3
9505
#24
10.71.8
8.09.8
Auto2.3
Teleop8.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed