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Red45
656025.5
88057.3
416016.8
Blue49
496410.1
528517.2
592421.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57492040801004549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6560
#11
25.50.8
26.025.2
Auto8.7
Teleop12.2
End4.6
red by 4.3
5924
#21
21.20.2
19.920.2
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End0.5
Second
4160
#25
16.80.8
16.415.6
Auto7.0
Teleop8.0
End1.9
blue by 0.4
5285
#26
17.20.2
14.715.0
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End0.2
Third
8805
#31
7.31.3
8.36.9
Auto1.5
Teleop5.7
End0.1
blue by 2.8
4964
#39
10.10.4
10.811.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed