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Red90
704226.3
803334.3
592421.2
Blue108
248532.5
699530.5
330926.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85100406012014016090108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8033
#16
34.30.6
33.033.6
Auto11.2
Teleop22.5
End0.6
red by 1.9
32.50.3
33.233.5
Auto10.9
Teleop19.0
End2.6
Second
7042
#15
26.30.6
25.726.3
Auto11.0
Teleop12.7
End2.6
blue by 4.2
30.50.3
28.128.4
Auto11.8
Teleop15.4
End3.3
Third
5924
#21
21.20.6
20.220.8
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End0.5
blue by 5.4
26.70.3
27.427.7
Auto8.1
Teleop16.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsEarned