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Red54
927121.3
74476.9
528517.2
Blue65
347630.9
96964.2
441529.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4274020601001201401605465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9271
#12
21.30.5
20.220.7
Auto5.5
Teleop13.4
End2.4
blue by 9.6
30.90.9
29.929.0
Auto12.7
Teleop15.3
End2.9
Second
5285
#26
17.20.4
15.015.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End0.2
blue by 11.8
4415
#17
29.10.9
27.826.9
Auto11.1
Teleop17.6
End0.3
Third
7447
#44
6.90.5
6.46.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End1.1
red by 2.7
9696
#45
4.21.3
5.54.2
Auto1.1
Teleop0.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsEarned