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Red29
32957.2
81212.5
461914.0
Blue68
903719.6
715730.4
88057.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3564020801001202968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4619
#36
14.00.6
14.614.0
Auto5.4
Teleop7.8
End0.8
blue by 16.4
30.40.2
28.328.5
Auto10.7
Teleop16.8
End2.9
Second
812
#43
12.50.4
13.012.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End3.4
blue by 7.0
9037
#10
19.60.2
19.319.6
Auto9.2
Teleop9.8
End0.6
Third
3295
#38
7.20.6
7.87.2
Auto4.3
Teleop1.6
End1.3
blue by 0.1
8805
#31
7.30.3
6.97.3
Auto1.5
Teleop5.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed