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Red76
364724.9
448128.8
945213.7
Blue70
49816.8
210222.3
312823.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75680501001507670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.0
28.628.5
Auto13.6
Teleop12.2
End2.9
red by 5.3
3128
#23
23.40.2
23.323.5
Auto8.9
Teleop13.1
End1.5
Second
24.90.0
24.724.7
Auto10.7
Teleop13.4
End0.8
red by 2.6
22.30.2
22.122.4
Auto6.8
Teleop13.9
End1.6
Third
9452
#41
13.70.0
13.513.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.7
blue by 3.2
498
#28
16.80.2
16.716.9
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End1.4