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Red63
157213.4
603632.2
441424.7
Blue99
49816.8
210222.3
312823.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8163020401001201401606399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.4
32.632.2
Auto12.3
Teleop18.3
End1.6
red by 8.8
3128
#23
23.40.9
22.423.3
Auto8.9
Teleop13.1
End1.5
Second
24.70.4
25.124.7
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End4.5
red by 2.4
22.30.9
21.322.1
Auto6.8
Teleop13.9
End1.6
Third
1572
#21
13.40.4
13.813.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.4
blue by 3.5
498
#28
16.80.9
15.816.7
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End1.4