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Red36
541924.6
66586.0
37597.9
Blue64
11653.3
603632.2
312823.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354520304050603664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5419
#12
24.60.2
14.314.1
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End3.9
blue by 7.7
32.22.0
18.920.9
Auto12.3
Teleop18.3
End1.6
Second
3759
#48
7.90.2
10.410.2
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End1.2
blue by 15.6
3128
#23
23.42.0
13.815.7
Auto8.9
Teleop13.1
End1.5
Third
6658
#30
6.00.2
8.17.9
Auto0.5
Teleop3.9
End1.5
red by 2.7
1165
#38
3.32.0
6.68.6
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed