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Red72
940822.8
119718.3
364724.9
Blue17
11592.3
67643.1
97322.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49340204060807217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.92.7
18.621.3
Auto10.7
Teleop13.4
End0.8
red by 2.6
973
#8
22.32.3
19.917.6
Auto4.9
Teleop16.1
End1.3
Second
9408
#16
22.82.7
12.715.5
Auto8.8
Teleop11.2
End2.8
red by 19.7
6764
#50
3.12.3
5.02.7
Auto2.6
Teleop-0.0
End0.5
Third
18.32.7
11.113.8
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End2.7
red by 16.0
1159
#49
2.32.3
7.95.6
Auto1.4
Teleop1.7
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed