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Red22
271013.4
77777.6
80063.9
Blue53
210222.3
715719.3
43227.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2457040801002253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2710
#15
13.42.1
10.68.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End2.1
blue by 8.9
22.30.6
17.418.0
Auto6.8
Teleop13.9
End1.6
Second
7777
#27
7.62.1
6.34.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End0.7
blue by 11.7
7157
#13
19.30.6
18.318.8
Auto6.9
Teleop10.1
End2.3
Third
8006
#39
3.92.1
9.06.9
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End0.2
blue by 3.9
4322
#44
7.80.6
12.012.6
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed