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Red36
11592.3
119718.3
351212.7
Blue58
66586.0
420119.5
95059.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433602060801003658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.30.7
13.813.1
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 1.2
19.51.7
17.215.5
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Second
3512
#45
12.70.7
18.317.6
Auto6.8
Teleop4.3
End1.6
red by 3.1
9505
#42
9.61.7
8.26.5
Auto2.8
Teleop6.6
End0.2
Third
1159
#49
2.30.7
5.64.9
Auto1.4
Teleop1.7
End-0.8
blue by 3.7
6658
#30
6.01.7
7.96.2
Auto0.5
Teleop3.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed