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Red55
519920.5
37597.9
69618.2
Blue47
351212.7
325513.9
51249.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49513540455560655547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#10
20.50.4
18.118.5
Auto7.5
Teleop8.4
End4.6
red by 6.6
3255
#32
13.90.6
16.215.6
Auto1.5
Teleop11.9
End0.4
Second
696
#31
18.20.4
16.516.8
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End0.7
red by 5.5
3512
#45
12.70.6
16.315.7
Auto6.8
Teleop4.3
End1.6
Third
3759
#48
7.90.4
10.010.4
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End1.2
blue by 1.4
5124
#40
9.30.6
13.212.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed