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Red12
441424.7
11653.3
88912.5
Blue30
119718.3
157213.4
96359.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4536102030405060701230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.73.1
21.118.1
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End4.5
red by 6.4
18.31.0
12.111.1
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Second
1165
#38
3.33.1
9.76.6
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End0.5
blue by 10.1
1572
#21
13.41.0
12.411.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.4
Third
8891
#37
2.53.1
8.95.8
Auto0.6
Teleop0.3
End1.6
blue by 7.1
9635
#14
9.65.7
13.88.2
Auto5.1
Teleop3.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed