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Red82
81199.6
940822.8
210222.3
Blue42
80209.5
715719.3
541924.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335702040808242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9408
#16
22.822.4
35.212.7
Auto8.8
Teleop11.2
End2.8
blue by 1.7
5419
#12
24.60.7
15.014.3
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End3.9
Second
22.33.6
13.817.4
Auto6.8
Teleop13.9
End1.6
red by 3.0
7157
#13
19.30.7
19.018.3
Auto6.9
Teleop10.1
End2.3
Third
8119
#35
9.63.6
9.713.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End1.0
red by 0.1
8020
#33
9.50.7
14.413.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed