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Red4
95207.5
9806.4
95059.6
Blue38
441516.9
114814.2
25438.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29460102040506070438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9505
#42
9.64.3
10.76.4
Auto2.8
Teleop6.6
End0.2
blue by 7.2
4415
#17
16.90.4
17.517.1
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End0.8
Second
9520
#19
7.51.3
7.76.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End0.4
blue by 6.7
1148
#25
14.20.4
11.711.3
Auto1.7
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Third
980
#46
6.42.7
10.47.6
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 2.5
2543
#26
8.90.4
10.610.2
Auto0.8
Teleop7.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed