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Red51
95385.4
603632.2
448128.8
Blue43
364724.9
34739.4
80063.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54432030506070805143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.7
19.618.9
Auto12.3
Teleop18.3
End1.6
red by 7.3
24.90.1
18.518.6
Auto10.7
Teleop13.4
End0.8
Second
28.80.7
18.718.0
Auto13.6
Teleop12.2
End2.9
red by 19.4
3473
#34
9.40.1
12.612.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End1.2
Third
9538
#29
5.43.0
5.48.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.2
End0.2
red by 1.5
8006
#39
3.90.1
8.99.0
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed