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Red22
114814.2
69618.2
271013.4
Blue28
80063.9
513710.8
519920.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443820304050602228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#31
18.21.9
17.115.3
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End0.7
blue by 2.3
5199
#10
20.50.8
16.916.1
Auto7.5
Teleop8.4
End4.6
Second
1148
#25
14.21.9
13.111.2
Auto1.7
Teleop11.8
End0.7
red by 3.4
5137
#11
10.80.8
11.110.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End1.5
Third
2710
#15
13.41.9
8.56.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End2.1
red by 9.5
8006
#39
3.90.8
6.96.2
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed