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Red37
603632.2
945213.7
77777.6
Blue78
49816.8
441424.7
441516.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36540204060803778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.21.4
20.919.5
Auto12.3
Teleop18.3
End1.6
red by 7.5
24.72.9
19.922.8
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End4.5
Second
9452
#41
13.71.4
9.78.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.7
blue by 3.2
4415
#17
16.92.9
14.917.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End0.8
Third
7777
#27
7.61.4
4.22.8
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End0.7
blue by 9.3
498
#28
16.82.9
12.115.0
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsMissed