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Red35
312823.4
325513.9
157213.4
Blue53
97322.3
25438.9
80209.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47462030405060703553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#23
23.40.9
15.714.8
Auto8.9
Teleop13.1
End1.5
red by 1.1
973
#8
22.31.2
17.618.8
Auto4.9
Teleop16.1
End1.3
Second
3255
#32
13.90.9
13.912.9
Auto1.5
Teleop11.9
End0.4
red by 4.4
8020
#33
9.51.2
12.914.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Third
1572
#21
13.40.9
11.810.9
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.4
red by 4.5
2543
#26
8.91.2
12.013.2
Auto0.8
Teleop7.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed