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Red62
364724.9
43227.8
96359.6
Blue39
945213.7
69618.2
95207.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45330102040506070806239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.91.7
23.325.0
Auto10.7
Teleop13.4
End0.8
red by 6.7
696
#31
18.20.3
15.315.6
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End0.7
Second
9635
#14
9.61.7
6.48.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.9
End0.5
blue by 4.0
9452
#41
13.70.3
8.38.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.7
Third
4322
#44
7.81.7
9.711.5
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End0.7
red by 0.4
9520
#19
7.50.3
7.47.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed