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Red46
420119.5
28398.9
49816.8
Blue22
80209.5
519920.5
45016.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43432030405060704622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.2
15.515.7
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End2.4
blue by 1.0
5199
#10
20.52.3
16.113.9
Auto7.5
Teleop8.4
End4.6
Second
498
#28
16.80.2
15.015.2
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End1.4
red by 7.3
8020
#33
9.52.3
14.111.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Third
2839
#20
8.90.2
6.87.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.1
End2.1
red by 2.0
4501
#36
6.92.3
10.38.0
Auto4.4
Teleop1.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed