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Red40
248524.0
95059.6
11653.3
Blue80
715719.3
97322.3
265812.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31560204060804080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.8
18.218.9
Auto12.6
Teleop9.2
End2.2
red by 1.7
973
#8
22.30.3
18.819.1
Auto4.9
Teleop16.1
End1.3
Second
9505
#42
9.60.8
6.57.2
Auto2.8
Teleop6.6
End0.2
blue by 9.6
7157
#13
19.30.3
16.516.8
Auto6.9
Teleop10.1
End2.3
Third
1165
#38
3.30.8
6.57.2
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End0.5
blue by 9.5
2658
#22
12.80.3
12.012.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned