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Red20
9806.4
81199.6
325513.9
Blue72
271013.4
119718.3
603632.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3445010203040506070802072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#32
13.91.3
12.911.6
Auto1.5
Teleop11.9
End0.4
blue by 18.3
32.23.4
19.522.9
Auto12.3
Teleop18.3
End1.6
Second
8119
#35
9.61.3
12.411.1
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End1.0
blue by 8.6
18.33.4
13.116.5
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Third
980
#46
6.41.3
6.65.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 7.0
2710
#15
13.43.4
6.610.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed