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Red34
51249.3
11592.3
312823.4
Blue76
210222.3
441516.9
95385.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304402060801003476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#23
23.40.5
14.815.3
Auto8.9
Teleop13.1
End1.5
red by 1.1
22.31.4
15.917.3
Auto6.8
Teleop13.9
End1.6
Second
5124
#40
9.30.5
9.510.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End0.2
blue by 7.5
4415
#17
16.91.4
17.819.2
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End0.8
Third
1159
#49
2.30.5
4.95.4
Auto1.4
Teleop1.7
End-0.8
blue by 3.1
9538
#29
5.41.4
4.45.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned