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Red9
34739.4
25438.9
88912.5
Blue60
441424.7
416.5
513710.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3749102030607080960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3473
#34
9.42.9
12.49.5
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End1.2
blue by 15.3
24.71.3
22.824.1
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End4.5
Second
2543
#26
8.92.9
13.210.3
Auto0.8
Teleop7.4
End0.7
blue by 7.6
4
#24
16.51.3
10.011.3
Auto6.0
Teleop9.5
End0.9
Third
8891
#37
2.52.9
9.46.5
Auto0.6
Teleop0.3
End1.6
blue by 8.2
5137
#11
10.81.3
10.411.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned