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Red36
448128.8
11653.3
9806.4
Blue37
77777.6
420119.5
81199.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413710203050603637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.1
25.025.0
Auto13.6
Teleop12.2
End2.9
red by 9.3
19.50.1
17.017.1
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Second
980
#46
6.40.1
6.16.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 3.3
8119
#35
9.60.1
9.89.9
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End1.0
Third
1165
#38
3.30.1
5.55.4
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End0.5
blue by 4.2
7777
#27
7.60.1
7.27.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed