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Red69
97322.3
441424.7
519920.5
Blue53
43227.8
448128.8
416.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6548204060801006953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.3
24.125.4
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End4.5
blue by 4.1
28.80.8
23.123.9
Auto13.6
Teleop12.2
End2.9
Second
973
#8
22.31.3
19.120.4
Auto4.9
Teleop16.1
End1.3
red by 5.8
4
#24
16.50.8
11.312.1
Auto6.0
Teleop9.5
End0.9
Third
5199
#10
20.51.3
13.915.2
Auto7.5
Teleop8.4
End4.6
red by 12.7
4322
#44
7.80.8
11.512.3
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned57%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed