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Red45
119718.3
49816.8
25438.9
Blue32
33286.5
69618.2
210222.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474202060801001201401604532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.30.3
16.516.8
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 4.0
22.30.7
17.316.6
Auto6.8
Teleop13.9
End1.6
Second
498
#28
16.80.3
15.215.5
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End1.4
blue by 1.3
696
#31
18.20.7
15.614.9
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End0.7
Third
2543
#26
8.90.3
10.310.6
Auto0.8
Teleop7.4
End0.7
red by 2.4
3328
#43
6.50.7
5.54.8
Auto1.0
Teleop3.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed