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Red10
157213.4
11592.3
34739.4
Blue51
325513.9
77777.6
114814.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3032102040501051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1572
#21
13.42.5
12.49.9
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.4
blue by 0.8
1148
#25
14.20.2
14.714.9
Auto1.7
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Second
3473
#34
9.42.5
9.57.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End1.2
blue by 4.5
3255
#32
13.90.2
11.611.8
Auto1.5
Teleop11.9
End0.4
Third
1159
#49
2.32.5
5.42.9
Auto1.4
Teleop1.7
End-0.8
blue by 5.3
7777
#27
7.60.2
2.83.0
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed