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Red43
95059.6
945213.7
325513.9
Blue17
11653.3
80063.9
51249.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362701020405060704317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#32
13.91.1
11.812.9
Auto1.5
Teleop11.9
End0.4
red by 4.6
5124
#40
9.31.8
11.39.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End0.2
Second
9452
#41
13.71.1
10.912.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.7
red by 9.7
8006
#39
3.91.8
7.35.5
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End0.2
Third
9505
#42
9.61.1
8.59.6
Auto2.8
Teleop6.6
End0.2
red by 6.3
1165
#38
3.31.8
7.25.5
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed