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Red56
77777.6
265812.8
541924.6
Blue10
88912.5
38635.7
69618.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372902060805610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5419
#12
24.62.4
17.720.0
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End3.9
red by 6.4
696
#31
18.21.9
14.913.0
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End0.7
Second
2658
#22
12.82.4
12.214.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.7
End1.5
red by 7.1
3863
#47
5.71.9
8.46.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Third
7777
#27
7.62.4
3.05.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End0.7
red by 5.0
8891
#37
2.51.9
4.22.2
Auto0.6
Teleop0.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed