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Red69
715719.3
519920.5
119718.3
Blue44
25438.9
312823.4
242912.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544302060806944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#10
20.51.3
15.216.5
Auto7.5
Teleop8.4
End4.6
blue by 2.9
3128
#23
23.40.1
16.616.5
Auto8.9
Teleop13.1
End1.5
Second
7157
#13
19.31.3
15.516.8
Auto6.9
Teleop10.1
End2.3
red by 7.0
2429
#18
12.20.1
12.812.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.3
End0.7
Third
18.31.3
16.818.1
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End2.7
red by 9.4
2543
#26
8.90.1
10.610.5
Auto0.8
Teleop7.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed