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Red75
248524.0
28398.9
448128.8
Blue25
33286.5
43227.8
351212.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593202040807525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.81.1
23.925.0
Auto13.6
Teleop12.2
End2.9
red by 16.0
3512
#45
12.70.8
14.914.1
Auto6.8
Teleop4.3
End1.6
Second
24.01.1
19.220.3
Auto12.6
Teleop9.2
End2.2
red by 16.2
4322
#44
7.80.8
12.311.5
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End0.7
Third
2839
#20
8.91.1
6.88.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.1
End2.1
red by 2.4
3328
#43
6.50.8
4.84.0
Auto1.0
Teleop3.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed