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Red38
441516.9
96359.6
45016.9
Blue24
37597.9
81199.6
34739.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342801020405060703824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#17
16.90.9
16.117.0
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End0.8
red by 7.2
8119
#35
9.60.3
11.110.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End1.0
Second
9635
#14
9.60.9
6.87.7
Auto5.1
Teleop3.9
End0.5
red by 0.2
3473
#34
9.40.3
7.06.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End1.2
Third
4501
#36
6.90.9
7.38.2
Auto4.4
Teleop1.6
End0.9
blue by 1.0
3759
#48
7.90.3
8.27.9
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed