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Red17
265812.8
80063.9
43227.8
Blue33
119718.3
51249.3
9806.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34390102030506070801733

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2658
#22
12.81.6
14.512.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.7
End1.5
blue by 5.5
18.30.7
18.117.4
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Second
4322
#44
7.81.6
11.59.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End0.7
blue by 1.5
5124
#40
9.30.7
9.68.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End0.2
Third
8006
#39
3.91.6
5.53.9
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End0.2
blue by 2.4
980
#46
6.40.7
6.86.1
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed