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Red3
67643.1
95385.4
80209.5
Blue45
69618.2
95059.6
77777.6
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1933010405060345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8020
#33
9.51.8
11.910.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.7
End1.1
blue by 8.7
696
#31
18.21.9
13.014.9
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End0.7
Second
9538
#29
5.41.8
3.82.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.2
End0.2
blue by 4.2
9505
#42
9.61.9
9.611.5
Auto2.8
Teleop6.6
End0.2
Third
6764
#50
3.11.8
3.31.5
Auto2.6
Teleop-0.0
End0.5
blue by 4.4
7777
#27
7.61.9
5.37.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed