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Red63
519920.5
420119.5
248524.0
Blue43
96359.6
37597.9
940822.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6137102030507080906343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.01.2
20.321.5
Auto12.6
Teleop9.2
End2.2
red by 1.2
9408
#16
22.80.2
20.520.7
Auto8.8
Teleop11.2
End2.8
Second
5199
#10
20.51.2
16.517.6
Auto7.5
Teleop8.4
End4.6
red by 10.9
9635
#14
9.60.2
7.77.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.9
End0.5
Third
19.51.2
15.817.0
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End2.4
red by 11.6
3759
#48
7.90.2
7.98.1
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed