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Red28
81199.6
351212.7
945213.7
Blue64
34739.4
97322.3
114814.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4046102030506070802864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9452
#41
13.71.0
12.011.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.7
blue by 8.7
973
#8
22.30.9
22.723.6
Auto4.9
Teleop16.1
End1.3
Second
3512
#45
12.71.0
14.113.1
Auto6.8
Teleop4.3
End1.6
blue by 1.4
1148
#25
14.20.9
11.712.6
Auto1.7
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Third
8119
#35
9.61.0
10.89.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End1.0
red by 0.2
3473
#34
9.40.9
6.87.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed