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Red26
25438.9
11653.3
271013.4
Blue17
49816.8
45016.9
11592.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28300102040502617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2710
#15
13.40.0
10.010.0
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End2.1
blue by 3.4
498
#28
16.82.5
16.013.5
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End1.4
Second
2543
#26
8.90.0
10.510.5
Auto0.8
Teleop7.4
End0.7
red by 2.0
4501
#36
6.92.5
8.25.7
Auto4.4
Teleop1.6
End0.9
Third
1165
#38
3.30.0
5.55.5
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End0.5
red by 1.0
1159
#49
2.32.5
3.10.6
Auto1.4
Teleop1.7
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed